Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
52.98% ( 0.19) | 22.92% ( -0.1) | 24.1% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.42% ( 0.39) | 42.58% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.02% ( 0.39) | 64.98% ( -0.39) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( 0.21) | 16.08% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.53% ( 0.38) | 45.46% ( -0.38) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.68% ( 0.14) | 31.32% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.32% ( 0.16) | 67.68% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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