Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 3-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for an Al-Nassr win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.