MX23RW : Monday, November 25 11:01:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Riyadh
2 - 2
Al-Nassr

Gray (26'), Saleh (45+1')
N'Dong (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Otavio (15'), Al Nemer (90+7')
Telles (45+10'), Telles (50')
Laporte (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Riyadh and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Hazem 1-1 Al Riyadh
Saturday, May 18 at 5.20pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Hilal
Friday, May 17 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Riyadh 1-3 Al-Nassr

The hosts have shown over the last few weeks that they are not willing to return to the second tier without a fight, but it is difficult to see them take anything from this match against the Riyadh giants. Al Nassr will need to maintain momentum until the King's Cup final at the end of the month, and we feel they will secure a comfortable victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 9.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.02%) and 0-3 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Nassr
9.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01) 15.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 74.65% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (0.021999999999998 0.02)38.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (0.022000000000006 0.02)60.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.76% (0.023000000000003 0.02)47.24% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.33% (0.02 0.02)82.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.92% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Riyadh 9.49%
    Al-Nassr 74.63%
    Draw 15.86%
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 2.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-0 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 9.49%
1-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 15.86%
0-2 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.19%
1-3 @ 7.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 6.09%
1-4 @ 4.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 2.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-6 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-6 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 74.63%

How you voted: Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr

Al Riyadh
13.2%
Draw
2.6%
Al-Nassr
84.2%
38
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Al-Nassr
4-1
Al Riyadh
Ronaldo (31'), Otavio (45+3'), Talisca (67', 90+4')
Yahya (88')
Gray (68')
Al-Shuwayyi (5'), Al-Rashidi (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1110012681830
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal1191129111828
3Al-Nassr1164122101222
4Al ShababAl Shabab11713157822
5Al Quadisiya11713158722
6Al Khaleej116141514119
7Al-AhliAl-Ahli11524159617
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun114341110115
9Al Riyadh114341315-215
10Al RaedAl Raed114251616014
11Damac114251819-114
12Al Ettifaq11335915-612
13Al Orubah113171024-1410
14Al Okhdood112361215-39
15Al WahdaAl Wahda112361527-129
16Al Kholood111461321-87
17Al Fayha11146720-137
18Al Fateh11128820-125


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!