MX23RW : Friday, November 22 03:57:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2023 at 6pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 1
Al Riyadh

Ronaldo (31'), Otavio (45+3'), Talisca (67', 90+4')
Yahya (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gray (68')
Al-Shuwayyi (5'), Al-Rashidi (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Riyadh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 1-1 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, December 5 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-0 Al Hazem
Thursday, November 30 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Riyadh

Al Nassr are looking to snap up a three-match winless run and are strongly fancied to do so against a newly promoted opponent. Even if CR7 is rested for this match, we feel that the Knights of Najd will still be too strong in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.82%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 10.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Riyadh
73.82% (-1.763 -1.76) 16% (0.842 0.84) 10.19% (0.921 0.92)
Both teams to score 50.62% (0.598 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (-1.156 -1.16)36.48% (1.155 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.38% (-1.27 -1.27)58.62% (1.271 1.27)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.52% (-0.655 -0.66)8.47% (0.6549 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.61% (-1.645 -1.65)29.39% (1.645 1.65)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.3% (1.04 1.04)44.69% (-1.041 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.31% (0.826 0.83)80.69% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 73.81%
    Al Riyadh 10.19%
    Draw 16%
Al-NassrDrawAl Riyadh
2-0 @ 11.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.49% (-0.375 -0.38)
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.235 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.204 0.2)
3-1 @ 7.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.86% (-0.43 -0.43)
4-1 @ 4.72% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.313 -0.31)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.025 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.19% (-0.172 -0.17)
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 73.81%
1-1 @ 7.53% (0.399 0.4)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16%
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.252 0.25)
1-2 @ 3.03% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.23% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.19%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh

Al-Nassr
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al Riyadh
0.0%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!