MX23RW : Monday, December 23 11:49:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2023 at 6pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 1
Al Riyadh

Ronaldo (31'), Otavio (45+3'), Talisca (67', 90+4')
Yahya (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gray (68')
Al-Shuwayyi (5'), Al-Rashidi (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Riyadh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 1-1 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, December 5 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-0 Al Hazem
Thursday, November 30 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Riyadh

Al Nassr are looking to snap up a three-match winless run and are strongly fancied to do so against a newly promoted opponent. Even if CR7 is rested for this match, we feel that the Knights of Najd will still be too strong in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.82%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 10.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Riyadh
73.82% (-1.763 -1.76) 16% (0.842 0.84) 10.19% (0.921 0.92)
Both teams to score 50.62% (0.598 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (-1.156 -1.16)36.48% (1.155 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.38% (-1.27 -1.27)58.62% (1.271 1.27)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.52% (-0.655 -0.66)8.47% (0.6549 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.61% (-1.645 -1.65)29.39% (1.645 1.65)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.3% (1.04 1.04)44.69% (-1.041 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.31% (0.826 0.83)80.69% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 73.81%
    Al Riyadh 10.19%
    Draw 16%
Al-NassrDrawAl Riyadh
2-0 @ 11.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.49% (-0.375 -0.38)
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.235 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.204 0.2)
3-1 @ 7.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.86% (-0.43 -0.43)
4-1 @ 4.72% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.313 -0.31)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.025 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.19% (-0.172 -0.17)
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 73.81%
1-1 @ 7.53% (0.399 0.4)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16%
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.252 0.25)
1-2 @ 3.03% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.23% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.19%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh

Al-Nassr
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al Riyadh
0.0%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!