MX23RW : Monday, December 23 12:11:02| >> :60:94:94:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 5, 2023 at 4pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Al-Nassr

Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 - 1
Al-Nassr

Dzhalilov (32')
Dzhalilov (33'), Karomatullozoda (64'), Sebai (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ghareeb (50')
Qassem (45+5'), Al Naji (47'), Otavio (90+4')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Nassr
26.43% (-0.488 -0.49) 22.77% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 50.8% (0.515 0.52)
Both teams to score 60.64% (-0.365 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (-0.281 -0.28)39.71% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (-0.294 -0.29)62.06% (0.294 0.29)
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-0.50099999999999 -0.5)27.97% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-0.642 -0.64)63.61% (0.642 0.64)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (0.076999999999998 0.08)15.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.04% (0.145 0.14)44.96% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 26.43%
    Al-Nassr 50.81%
    Draw 22.76%
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.9% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.63% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.72% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.81%

How you voted: Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr

Istiqlol Dushanbe
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Al-Nassr
83.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Al-Nassr
3-1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Ronaldo (66'), Talisca (72', 77')
Sebai (44')
Sebai (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!