AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park
Al-Nassr3 - 1Istiqlol Dushanbe
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Nassr and Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al Tai 1-2 Al-Nassr
Friday, September 29 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Friday, September 29 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 0-0 Al-Duhail
Tuesday, September 19 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, September 19 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
56.03% ( -0) | 23% ( -0) | 20.98% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.54% ( -0) | 46.46% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.26% ( -0) | 68.74% ( -0) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -0) | 16.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.95% ( -0) | 46.05% ( -0) |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% ( -0) | 36.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.89% ( -0) | 73.11% |
| Score Analysis |
Al-Nassr 56.03%
Istiqlol Dushanbe 20.98%
Draw 22.99%
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.74% 3-1 @ 5.94% 3-0 @ 5.87% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.22% Total : 56.03% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.98% |
How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
Al-Nassr
80.0%Draw
20.0%Istiqlol Dushanbe
0.0%5
Form Guide
