MX23RW : Friday, November 22 07:45:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 3
Al-Ahli

Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Persepolis 0-2 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ahli

We are expecting a high-quality game of football here between two sides that have been tipped to challenge for the title this season. A few notable absentees for Al-Ahli could be a crucial factor in this one, which is why we are leaning toward the hosts to edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
45.05% (0.665 0.66) 25.31% (-0.279 -0.28) 29.63% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 54.43% (0.686 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.993 0.99)48.99% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.89 0.89)71.07% (-0.887 -0.89)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.72699999999999 0.73)21.74% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (1.096 1.1)54.91% (-1.093 -1.09)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.23400000000001 0.23)30.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.276 0.28)66.66% (-0.273 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 45.05%
    Al-Ahli 29.63%
    Draw 25.31%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.143 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.272 -0.27)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr
79.5%
Draw
6.8%
Al-Ahli
13.6%
44
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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