Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park
Al-Nassr4 - 3Al-Ahli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Persepolis 0-2 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ahli
We are expecting a high-quality game of football here between two sides that have been tipped to challenge for the title this season. A few notable absentees for Al-Ahli could be a crucial factor in this one, which is why we are leaning toward the hosts to edge it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Ahli |
45.05% ( 0.66) | 25.31% ( -0.28) | 29.63% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.99) | 48.99% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( 0.89) | 71.07% ( -0.89) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( 0.73) | 21.74% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.09% ( 1.1) | 54.91% ( -1.09) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( 0.23) | 30.45% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.34% ( 0.28) | 66.66% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Al-Nassr 45.05%
Al-Ahli 29.63%
Draw 25.31%
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.05% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.63% |
How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli
Al-Nassr
79.5%Draw
6.8%Al-Ahli
13.6%44
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Form Guide
