MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 08:52:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
2 - 0
Al Tai

Mahrez (39'), Kessie (59')
Al-Asmari (90+2'), Demiral (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mohammed (43'), Braga (60')
Semedo (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Tai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-0 Al Okhdood
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Tai

All competitions
Last Game: Al Tai 0-3 Al Wahda
Thursday, August 24 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 2-0 Al Tai

 Al-Ahli have been impressive at both ends of the pitch, and it is hard to bet against them coming out on top here. We expect the home side to have little problem easing past the threat of their visitors and securing maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for an Al Tai win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Tai
68.52% (0.31099999999999 0.31) 18.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 12.49% (-0.317 -0.32)
Both teams to score 47.91% (-0.99 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.86% (-0.811 -0.81)44.14% (0.815 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.48% (-0.793 -0.79)66.52% (0.798 0.8)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)11.81% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.95% (-0.318 -0.32)37.05% (0.322 0.32)
Al Tai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.33% (-1.028 -1.03)45.67% (1.034 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54% (-0.819 -0.82)81.46% (0.824 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 68.51%
    Al Tai 12.49%
    Draw 18.99%
Al-AhliDrawAl Tai
2-0 @ 12.3% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 11.52% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.76% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.68% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 68.51%
1-1 @ 9.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.99%
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.54% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.49%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Tai

Al-Ahli
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Al Tai
5.0%
20
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal98102471725
2Al Ittihad98012281424
3Al-Nassr95402081219
4Al ShababAl Shabab9603126618
5Al Quadisiya9513117416
6Al Riyadh94231314-114
7Al Khaleej94141011-113
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun9333109112
9Al-AhliAl-Ahli9324129311
10Al RaedAl Raed93241313011
11Al Ettifaq9324812-411
12Al Orubah9315919-1010
13Al Okhdood92251113-28
14Damac92251316-38
15Al Kholood91441217-57
16Al Fayha9144717-107
17Al WahdaAl Wahda91351224-126
18Al Fateh9126716-95
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!