Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Al-Shorta had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Al-Shorta win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.