AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 15, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Esteghlal5 - 2Al-Ahli
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Esteghlal and Al-Ahli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esteghlal would win this match.
Result | ||
Esteghlal | Draw | Al-Ahli |
52.14% | 24.54% | 23.32% |
Both teams to score 51.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.68% | 50.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.73% | 72.26% |
Esteghlal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.72% | 19.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.99% | 51.01% |
Al-Ahli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.75% | 36.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.96% | 73.03% |
Score Analysis |
Esteghlal 52.13%
Al-Ahli 23.32%
Draw 24.54%
Esteghlal | Draw | Al-Ahli |
1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.47% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.32% |
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2020 4pm
Feb 17, 2020 3.30pm
Group Stage
Al-Ahli
2-1
Esteghlal
Al Moasher (17' pen., 29')
Al-Majhad (27'), Al-Asmari (34'), Hindi (52'), Al Moasher (90+1')
Al-Majhad (27'), Al-Asmari (34'), Hindi (52'), Al Moasher (90+1')
Arsalan Motahari (22')
Cheshmi (1')
Cheshmi (1')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 00:55:28
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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