Esteghlal

3 - 0

Al-Ahli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esteghlal would win this match.