Al Khaleej look destined to struggle against the attacking firepower of Al-Ahli, who are expected to cruise to a comfortable victory on Thursday, with the likes of Firmino, Mahrez and Saint-Maximin set to wreak havoc on the hosts' backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al Khaleej	Draw	Al-Ahli
21.71% ( 0.26)	25.19% ( -0.16)	53.1% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6% (

0.86)

54.4% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22% (

0.71)

75.77% (

-0.71)

Al Khaleej Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.9% (

0.76)

40.1% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26% (

0.69)

76.74% (

-0.69)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

0.3)

20.49% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

0.48)

52.97% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Al Khaleej 21.71%

Al-Ahli 53.09%

Draw 25.19%

Al Khaleej	Draw	Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.71%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 10.32% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 53.09%