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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
3 - 1
Al Hazem

Firmino (6', 10', 72')
Hindi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vinicius (50')
Al Shammari (13'), Al Mhemaid (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Duhail 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 30 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem

With an almost entirely overhauled squad that now features players that have experience at the very highest level of football, Al Ahli Saudi are a side that are expected to do well this season, and we expect they get going with a solid win in their first match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
41.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 28.75% (0.417 0.42) 29.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.06% (-1.404 -1.4)61.93% (1.4 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (-1.048 -1.05)81.69% (1.045 1.05)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)29.31% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-1.108 -1.11)65.29% (1.106 1.11)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.8 -0.8)37.32% (0.795 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.797 -0.8)74.1% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 41.66%
    Al Hazem 29.57%
    Draw 28.75%
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.155 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.94% (0.56 0.56)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Hazem

Al-Ahli
82.9%
Draw
11.4%
Al Hazem
5.7%
35
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Al-Ahli
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1110012681830
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal1191129111828
3Al-Nassr1164122101222
4Al ShababAl Shabab11713157822
5Al Quadisiya11713158722
6Al Khaleej116141514119
7Al-AhliAl-Ahli11524159617
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun114341110115
9Al Riyadh114341315-215
10Al RaedAl Raed114251616014
11Damac114251819-114
12Al Ettifaq11335915-612
13Al Orubah113171024-1410
14Al Okhdood112361215-39
15Al WahdaAl Wahda112361527-129
16Al Kholood111461321-87
17Al Fayha11146720-137
18Al Fateh11128820-125


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