MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 04:01:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Okhdood

Kessie (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohammed Saeed Al Muwallad (35'), Alberto Lobo Mendonca (36'), Hassan Mushaib Al Zabdani (54'), Awadh Al Yami (88+88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Okhdood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-3 Al-Ahli
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-3 Al Fateh
Friday, August 18 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-0 Al Okhdood

While Al-Ahli have hit the ground running in the new campaign, Al Okhdood have struggled to get going as they make their first-ever appearance in the top flight. Jaissle's have been one of the more active sides in the window and we fancy them cruising to a comfortable victory against the inexperienced visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Okhdood
51.19% (-0.412 -0.41) 26.29% (0.176 0.18) 22.52% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 45.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (-0.404 -0.4)57.61% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (-0.32 -0.32)78.38% (0.324 0.32)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.34899999999999 -0.35)22.61% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (-0.523 -0.52)56.23% (0.526 0.53)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.65% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 51.19%
    Al Okhdood 22.52%
    Draw 26.28%
Al-AhliDrawAl Okhdood
1-0 @ 13.82% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.52%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Okhdood

Al-Ahli
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Al Okhdood
5.9%
17
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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