MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 10:47:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Okhdood

Kessie (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohammed Saeed Al Muwallad (35'), Alberto Lobo Mendonca (36'), Hassan Mushaib Al Zabdani (54'), Awadh Al Yami (88+88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Okhdood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-3 Al-Ahli
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-3 Al Fateh
Friday, August 18 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-0 Al Okhdood

While Al-Ahli have hit the ground running in the new campaign, Al Okhdood have struggled to get going as they make their first-ever appearance in the top flight. Jaissle's have been one of the more active sides in the window and we fancy them cruising to a comfortable victory against the inexperienced visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Okhdood
51.19% (-0.412 -0.41) 26.29% (0.176 0.18) 22.52% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 45.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (-0.404 -0.4)57.61% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (-0.32 -0.32)78.38% (0.324 0.32)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.34899999999999 -0.35)22.61% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (-0.523 -0.52)56.23% (0.526 0.53)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.65% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 51.19%
    Al Okhdood 22.52%
    Draw 26.28%
Al-AhliDrawAl Okhdood
1-0 @ 13.82% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.52%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Okhdood

Al-Ahli
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Al Okhdood
5.9%
17
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal98102471725
2Al Ittihad98012281424
3Al-Nassr95402081219
4Al ShababAl Shabab9603126618
5Al Quadisiya9513117416
6Al Riyadh94231314-114
7Al Khaleej94141011-113
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun9333109112
9Al-AhliAl-Ahli9324129311
10Al RaedAl Raed93241313011
11Al Ettifaq9324812-411
12Al Orubah9315919-1010
13Al Okhdood92251113-28
14Damac92251316-38
15Al Kholood91441217-57
16Al Fayha9144717-107
17Al WahdaAl Wahda91351224-126
18Al Fateh9126716-95


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