Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Al Fateh	Draw	Al-Ahli
20.14% ( 0.06)	22.87% ( 0.13)	56.99% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 52.35% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53% (

-0.46)

47% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75% (

-0.43)

69.25% (

0.43)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.51% (

-0.2)

37.49% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.73% (

-0.19)

74.27% (

0.2)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74% (

-0.22)

16.26% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.2% (

-0.41)

45.8% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Al Fateh 20.14%

Al-Ahli 56.98%

Draw 22.87%

Al Fateh	Draw	Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.14%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.87%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.98%