MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 08:37:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 0
Al Shabab

Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Shabab, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fateh 0-5 Al-Nassr
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-1 Damac
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Shabab

While the last few encounters between these sides have been fairly close, the hosts seem to have found their stride in the last couple of weeks while the visitors are still staggering out the blocks. We expect Al-Nassr to secure a comfortable win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
47.72% (0.39599999999999 0.4) 23.81% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 28.47% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 58.72% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.229 0.23)43.02% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.226 0.23)65.42% (-0.218 -0.22)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.249 0.25)18.2% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.418 0.42)49.2% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.22% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.117 -0.12)63.93% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 47.72%
    Al Shabab 28.47%
    Draw 23.81%
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab

Al-Nassr
95.5%
Draw
0.0%
Al Shabab
4.5%
44
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal98102471725
2Al Ittihad98012281424
3Al-Nassr95402081219
4Al ShababAl Shabab9603126618
5Al Quadisiya9513117416
6Al Riyadh94231314-114
7Al Khaleej94141011-113
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun9333109112
9Al-AhliAl-Ahli9324129311
10Al RaedAl Raed93241313011
11Al Ettifaq9324812-411
12Al Orubah9315919-1010
13Al Okhdood92251113-28
14Damac92251316-38
15Al Kholood91441217-57
16Al Fayha9144717-107
17Al WahdaAl Wahda91351224-126
18Al Fateh9126716-95


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