Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park
Al-Nassr4 - 0Al Shabab
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al Fateh 0-5 Al-Nassr
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-1 Damac
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Shabab
While the last few encounters between these sides have been fairly close, the hosts seem to have found their stride in the last couple of weeks while the visitors are still staggering out the blocks. We expect Al-Nassr to secure a comfortable win in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
Result | ||
Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Shabab |
47.72% ( 0.4) | 23.81% ( -0.09) | 28.47% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 58.72% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% ( 0.23) | 43.02% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.59% ( 0.23) | 65.42% ( -0.22) |
Al-Nassr Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.81% ( 0.25) | 18.2% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.8% ( 0.42) | 49.2% ( -0.41) |
Al Shabab Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.78% ( -0.09) | 28.22% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.08% ( -0.12) | 63.93% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Nassr 47.72%
Al Shabab 28.47%
Draw 23.81%
Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Shabab |
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.57% Total : 47.72% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.47% |
How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
95.5%Draw
0.0%Al Shabab
4.5%44
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-23 08:00:23
1.20am
Buccaneers
@
Cowboys
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Al Ittihad | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 36 |
2 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 |
3 | Al Quadisiya | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Al-Nassr | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
5 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
6 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
7 | Al Riyadh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
8 | Al Khaleej | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
9 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Damac | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 15 |
11 | Al Ettifaq | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Al RaedAl Raed | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | Al Orubah | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Al Okhdood | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 12 |
15 | Al Kholood | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
16 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 9 |
17 | Al Fayha | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 8 |
18 | Al Fateh | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
> Saudi Pro League Full Table |
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