MX23RW : Friday, November 22 07:04:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
4 - 0
Al Shabab

Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Shabab, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fateh 0-5 Al-Nassr
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-1 Damac
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Shabab

While the last few encounters between these sides have been fairly close, the hosts seem to have found their stride in the last couple of weeks while the visitors are still staggering out the blocks. We expect Al-Nassr to secure a comfortable win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
47.72% (0.39599999999999 0.4) 23.81% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 28.47% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 58.72% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.229 0.23)43.02% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.226 0.23)65.42% (-0.218 -0.22)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.249 0.25)18.2% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.418 0.42)49.2% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.22% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.117 -0.12)63.93% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 47.72%
    Al Shabab 28.47%
    Draw 23.81%
Al-NassrDrawAl Shabab
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab

Al-Nassr
95.5%
Draw
0.0%
Al Shabab
4.5%
44
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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