MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:42:37| >> :60:11:11:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze

Istiqlol Dushanbe
0 - 0
Al-Duhail


Gogoua (90+6')
FT

Bamba (53'), Mohamad Hassan (90+3'), Semedo (90+2')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Al-Duhail.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istiqlol Dushanbe

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 2-0 Sharjah
Wednesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Al-Duhail

All competitions
Last Game: Al Arabi 3-3 Al-Duhail
Saturday, September 2 at 4.15pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Duhail
33.57% (0.939 0.94) 25.01% (0.235 0.23) 41.41% (-1.176 -1.18)
Both teams to score 57.17% (-0.513 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.81% (-0.801 -0.8)46.19% (0.799 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (-0.761 -0.76)68.48% (0.75800000000001 0.76)
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.184 0.18)26.48% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.246 0.25)61.66% (-0.25 -0.25)
Al-Duhail Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.898 -0.9)22.24% (0.893 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-1.366 -1.37)55.68% (1.363 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 33.57%
    Al-Duhail 41.42%
    Draw 25.01%
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Duhail
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.301 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.227 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.42%

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