MX23RW : Friday, November 22 00:19:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Fahd Sport City Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
3 - 0
Al-Nassr

Milinkovic-Savic (64'), Mitrovic (90', 90+2')
Mitrovic (69'), Koulibaly (79'), Malcom (90+5'), Jahfali (90+10')
Albulayhi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Otavio (40'), Yahya (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Navbahor 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-0 Persepolis
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Nassr

Both these sides come into this match carrying excellent league form, but the visitors did show a few signs of weakness in midweek, especially after the withdrawal of the league's top scorer, Cristiano Ronaldo. The hosts, though, were solid in their AFC Champions League outing, and their unbeaten record this season cannot be ignored. We are expecting a high-quality encounter here but are siding with Al Hilal to edge the contest by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
44.95% (-0.305 -0.31) 23.44% (0.321 0.32) 31.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.98% (-1.205 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (-1.572 -1.57)39.55% (1.57 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1% (-1.656 -1.66)61.89% (1.655 1.66)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.744 -0.74)17.94% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-1.29 -1.29)48.76% (1.288 1.29)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)24.46% (0.773 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-1.104 -1.1)58.9% (1.101 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 44.95%
    Al-Nassr 31.61%
    Draw 23.43%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.368 0.37)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.165 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.313 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.311 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.61%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
33.0%
Draw
10.0%
Al-Nassr
57.0%
100
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7pm
Semi-Finals
Al-Nassr
1-2
Al-Hilal
Talisca (50')
Al-Ghanam (75'), Al Amri (85')
Alawjami (45+2')
Marega (17'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Jang (21'), Albulayhi (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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