Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Fahd Sport City Stadium
Al-Hilal3 - 0Al-Nassr
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Navbahor 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-0 Persepolis
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Nassr
Both these sides come into this match carrying excellent league form, but the visitors did show a few signs of weakness in midweek, especially after the withdrawal of the league's top scorer, Cristiano Ronaldo. The hosts, though, were solid in their AFC Champions League outing, and their unbeaten record this season cannot be ignored. We are expecting a high-quality encounter here but are siding with Al Hilal to edge the contest by a single goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Nassr |
44.95% ( -0.31) | 23.44% ( 0.32) | 31.61% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.98% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
