Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 9

Oct 6, 2023 at 4pm UK

Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
2 - 2
Abha

Otavio (3'), Talisca (28')
Al-Ghanam (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bguir (36' pen.), Toko Ekambi (90+2')
Noguera (53'), Al Qumayzi (73'), Al-Jumayah (81'), Raji Al Kunaydiri (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Monday, October 2 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Abha

All competitions

Last Game: Abha 0-1 Al Riyadh
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al Nassr have been near-perfect of late and will head into Friday's involvement with the wind in their sails. We fully expect Ronaldo and co. to run riot once again en route to an emphatic win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 9.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Abha
75.56% ( 0.24)	15.08% ( -0.16)	9.36% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 50.72% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.35% (

0.55)

34.65% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.4% (

0.61)

56.6% (

-0.61)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.33% (

0.18)

7.67% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.64% (

0.45)

27.35% (

-0.45)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.93% (

0.22)

45.07% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.01% (

0.18)

80.99% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 75.55%

Abha 9.36%

Draw 15.08%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Abha
2-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 75.55%	1-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.94% Total : 15.08%	1-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 9.36%