AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 28, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stadion Surkhon

Navbahor
0 - 2
Al-Hilal

Dokic (10'), Yoldoshev (30'), Ivanovic (66')
Yoldoshev (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Malcom (68'), Al-Dawsari (85')
Al-Qahtani (58'), Al Burayk (80'), Abdul Hamid (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Navbahor and Al-Hilal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Navbahor

Last Game: Nassaji Mazandaran 1-3 Navbahor
Monday, November 6 at 2pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Hilal

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al Hazem 0-9 Al-Hilal
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Navbahor had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Navbahor win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Navbahor	Draw	Al-Hilal
23.49% ( 0.45)	25.59% ( 0.05)	50.92% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 48.56% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

0.22)

54.24% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

0.18)

75.64% (

-0.18)

Navbahor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.72% (

0.55)

38.28% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.96% (

0.52)

75.03% (

-0.52)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.67% (

-0.12)

21.33% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.71% (

-0.19)

54.29% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Navbahor 23.49%

Al-Hilal 50.92%

Draw 25.58%

Navbahor	Draw	Al-Hilal
1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.49%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.92%