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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah)
Al-Nassr

Al Fayha
1 - 3
Al-Nassr

Al-Shuwaish (66')
Ryller (20'), Al-Safari (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Talisca (50', 61'), Otavio (74')
Al Amri (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fayha and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fayha

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ain 4-1 Al Fayha
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Duhail
Tuesday, October 24 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Fayha 1-3 Al-Nassr

 While the hosts secured a good win in their last league match, they face a much harder opponent here, who have been banging in goals for fun over the last few weeks. Al-Nassr look like they are in an excellent rhythm at present, and we fancy them to claim another three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 7.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.75%) and 0-3 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-0 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al FayhaDrawAl-Nassr
7.9% (-0.4841 -0.48) 16.7% (-0.536 -0.54) 75.4% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 38.31% (-0.461 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (0.672 0.67)47.42% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (0.62 0.62)69.63% (-0.624 -0.62)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.98% (-0.743 -0.74)57.01% (0.741 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.95% (-0.422 -0.42)89.05% (0.42100000000001 0.42)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (0.45599999999999 0.46)10.88% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.99% (1.002 1)35.01% (-1.005 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Fayha 7.9%
    Al-Nassr 75.38%
    Draw 16.7%
Al FayhaDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 3.49% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-1 @ 2.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 0.98% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 7.9%
1-1 @ 7.73% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 2.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 16.7%
0-2 @ 15.26% (0.15 0.15)
0-1 @ 13.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 11.28% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.34% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 6.26% (0.286 0.29)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.083 0.08)
0-5 @ 2.78% (0.176 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.56% (0.065 0.07)
0-6 @ 1.03% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 75.38%

How you voted: Al Fayha vs Al-Nassr

Al Fayha
13.8%
Draw
13.8%
Al-Nassr
72.4%
29
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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