While the hosts secured a good win in their last league match, they face a much harder opponent here, who have been banging in goals for fun over the last few weeks. Al-Nassr look like they are in an excellent rhythm at present, and we fancy them to claim another three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 7.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.75%) and 0-3 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-0 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al Fayha	Draw	Al-Nassr
7.9% ( -0.48)	16.7% ( -0.54)	75.4% ( 1.02)

Both teams to score 38.31% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.58% (

0.67)

47.42% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36% (

0.62)

69.63% (

-0.62)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.98% (

-0.74)

57.01% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.95% (

-0.42)

89.05% (

0.42)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.12% (

0.46)

10.88% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.99% (

35.01% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Al Fayha 7.9%

Al-Nassr 75.38%

Draw 16.7%

Al Fayha	Draw	Al-Nassr
1-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.26% Total : 7.9%	1-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.36% Total : 16.7%	0-2 @ 15.26% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 13.75% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 11.28% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 6.26% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 2.78% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 75.38%