AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Istiqlol Dushanbe1 - 1Persepolis
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Persepolis.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Persepolis 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Persepolis 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istiqlol Dushanbe win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Persepolis had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Persepolis win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Persepolis |
38.61% ( 0.21) | 26.9% ( -0.06) | 34.48% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( 0.23) | 54.1% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( 0.2) | 75.53% ( -0.19) |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( 0.23) | 27.29% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.27% ( 0.3) | 62.73% ( -0.3) |
| Persepolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( 0.02) | 29.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.17% ( 0.02) | 65.83% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Istiqlol Dushanbe 38.6%
Persepolis 34.48%
Draw 26.9%
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Persepolis |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.48% |
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Persepolis
2-0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Sadeghi (44', 71')
Rafiei (45'), Gvelesiani (63')
Rafiei (45'), Gvelesiani (63')
Novoselec (57')
Sep 14, 2021 4pm
Form Guide
