MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 21:33:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
Apr 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
3 - 1
Al Fayha

Al Amri (72'), Mane (76', 82')
Mane (37'), Al-Khaibari (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sakala (6')
Cimirot (28'), Sabiri (45+3')
Sakala (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Fayha

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fayha 3-0 Al Okhdood
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Fayha

 Al Fayha could not have chosen a better time to face Al-Nassr, who are coming off a painful defeat and are set to be without their leader and talisman Cristiano Ronaldo. However, Al-Alami have more than enough reinforcements to unleash here, and their record in this fixture has been incredible for several years. Therefore, while we are not expecting a commanding victory, we do still feel that the hosts will come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 6.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Fayha
82.1% (0.28 0.28) 11.27% (-0.125 -0.13) 6.61% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.05% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)24.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)44.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03)4.49% (-0.0361 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.58% (0.10799999999999 0.11)18.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (-0.468 -0.47)44.03% (0.464 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84% (-0.386 -0.39)80.15% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 82.11%
    Al Fayha 6.61%
    Draw 11.28%
Al-NassrDrawAl Fayha
3-0 @ 9.85% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.08% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 7.64% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 6.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.74% (0.072 0.07)
5-1 @ 3.89% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.45% (0.044 0.04)
6-1 @ 2.01% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 82.11%
1-1 @ 5.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 11.28%
1-2 @ 2.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 1.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 6.61%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Fayha

Al-Nassr
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Al Fayha
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2024 6pm
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al Fayha
Otavio (17'), Ronaldo (86')
Castro (16'), Otavio (19'), Ronaldo (45+1'), Alkhaibari (79')

Al-Safari (15'), Al-Harthi (36'), Onyekuru (45+4'), Al-Baqawi (54'), Al-Khalaf (58')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2024 6pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Al Fayha
0-1
Al-Nassr

Al-Shuwaish (77'), Sabiri (82')
Ronaldo (81')
Alkhaibari (37'), Al-Najjar (85')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Al Fayha
1-3
Al-Nassr
Al-Shuwaish (66')
Ryller (20'), Al-Safari (89')
Talisca (50', 61'), Otavio (74')
Al Amri (53')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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