MX23RW : Monday, December 23 08:58:24| >> :60:966:966:
AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah)
Al-Nassr

Al Fayha
0 - 1
Al-Nassr


Al-Shuwaish (77'), Sabiri (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ronaldo (81')
Alkhaibari (37'), Al-Najjar (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's AFC Champions League clash between Al Fayha and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fayha

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-2 Al-Hilal
Friday, December 29 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al-Nassr
Thursday, February 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Al Fayha 1-4 Al-Nassr

 Al-Nassr have plenty of seasoned veterans who know what it takes to win the UEFA Champions League, and we expect they will thrive in this spotlight just as they have their entire careers in competitions like this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-3 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 2-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al FayhaDrawAl-Nassr
16.03% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 17.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 66.08% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Both teams to score 62.01% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.37% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.63% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.05% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)51.95% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)32.09% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.175 -0.18)68.57% (0.178 0.18)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)8.68% (-0.0068999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.09% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.91% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Fayha 16.03%
    Al-Nassr 66.08%
    Draw 17.88%
Al FayhaDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 4.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 16.03%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.88%
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 7.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.78% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.38% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.14% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-5 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-6 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 66.08%

How you voted: Al Fayha vs Al-Nassr

Al Fayha
12.7%
Draw
3.6%
Al-Nassr
83.6%
55
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Al Fayha
1-3
Al-Nassr
Al-Shuwaish (66')
Ryller (20'), Al-Safari (89')
Talisca (50', 61'), Otavio (74')
Al Amri (53')
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