MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 10:07:15| >> :60:120:120:
Al-Nassr
AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Feb 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
2 - 0
Al Fayha

Otavio (17'), Ronaldo (86')
Castro (16'), Otavio (19'), Ronaldo (45+1'), Alkhaibari (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Safari (15'), Al-Harthi (36'), Onyekuru (45+4'), Al-Baqawi (54'), Al-Khalaf (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Fateh
Saturday, February 17 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Hazem 1-3 Al Fayha
Saturday, February 17 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Fayha

Al Fayha will have to be more attack-minded on Wednesday than they were in the opening leg, and that should play into the hands of Al-Nassr, who are potent in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Fayha
65.4% (8.823 8.82) 18.19% (-2.245 -2.25) 16.41% (-6.585 -6.59)
Both teams to score 61.7% (-3.554 -3.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.6% (0.574 0.57)31.39% (-0.579 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.14% (0.675 0.67)52.85% (-0.682 -0.68)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.95% (2.335 2.33)9.04% (-2.34 -2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.22% (5.344 5.34)30.77% (-5.349 -5.35)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-5.801 -5.8)32.16% (5.795 5.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-7.135 -7.14)68.64% (7.13 7.13)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 65.4%
    Al Fayha 16.41%
    Draw 18.19%
Al-NassrDrawAl Fayha
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.4% (1.312 1.31)
3-1 @ 7.63% (0.79 0.79)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.467 0.47)
3-0 @ 6.73% (1.595 1.6)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.868 0.87)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.232 -0.23)
4-0 @ 4.04% (1.254 1.25)
4-2 @ 2.6% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.589 0.59)
5-0 @ 1.94% (0.732 0.73)
5-2 @ 1.25% (0.173 0.17)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 65.4%
1-1 @ 7.93% (-0.766 -0.77)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.893 -0.89)
0-0 @ 2.91% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.39 -0.39)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.19%
1-2 @ 4.5% (-1.299 -1.3)
0-1 @ 3.3% (-0.703 -0.7)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.755 -0.76)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.796 -0.8)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.875 -0.88)
Other @ 3%
Total : 16.41%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Fayha

Al-Nassr
89.2%
Draw
8.1%
Al Fayha
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 6pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Al Fayha
0-1
Al-Nassr

Al-Shuwaish (77'), Sabiri (82')
Ronaldo (81')
Alkhaibari (37'), Al-Najjar (85')
Oct 28, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Al Fayha
1-3
Al-Nassr
Al-Shuwaish (66')
Ryller (20'), Al-Safari (89')
Talisca (50', 61'), Otavio (74')
Al Amri (53')
rhs 2.0
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