Al-Nassr look like a different team than the one Al-Taawoun faced on matchday two, and given how sharp they have been up front lately, it is difficult to envision the home side keeping them quiet for 90 minutes on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Taawoun	Draw	Al-Nassr
29.06% ( -0.07)	22.27% ( 0.06)	48.67% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 64.72% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.7% (

-0.34)

35.3% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.67% (

-0.38)

57.32% (

0.38)

Al-Taawoun Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08% (

-0.22)

23.92% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.86% (

-0.31)

58.14% (

0.32)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.07% (

-0.12)

14.93% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.67% (

-0.23)

43.33% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Al-Taawoun 29.06%

Al-Nassr 48.67%

Draw 22.27%

Al-Taawoun	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.06%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.27%	1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 48.67%