Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 18

Dec 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
3 - 1
Al Ettifaq

Telles (43'), Brozovic (59'), Ronaldo (73' pen.)
Laporte (45+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Al Kuwaykibi (85')
Dembele (36'), Tisserand (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Ettifaq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-1 Al Riyadh
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al Ettifaq

All competitions

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, December 16 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Ettifaq

Al-Nassr have a solid home record and will win this emphatically if they bring their best game against a side that has struggled for a while. For a side showing no form at all, facing a dominant side away from home is not the ideal assignment for Gerrard's men, and the mission will be to keep the result respectable. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Ettifaq
71.37% ( -0)	17.19% ( -0)	11.43% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.39% (

0.05)

38.61% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.09% (

0.05)

60.92% (

-0.04)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

0.02)

9.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.97% (

0.03)

32.03% (

-0.02)

Al Ettifaq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.13% (

0.05)

43.87% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.99% (

0.04)

80.02% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 71.37%

Al Ettifaq 11.43%

Draw 17.19%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Ettifaq
2-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.49% 5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 71.37%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 17.19%	0-1 @ 3.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.21% Total : 11.43%