MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 09:01:11| >> :60:25:25:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium

Al Fayha
3 - 1
Ahal

Nwakaeme (19' pen.), Sakala (45+6'), Madash (74')
Al-Qaydhi (57')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tagayew (36' pen.)
Abdurakhmanov (90+6')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al Fayha and Ahal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fayha

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Fateh 0-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Ahal

All competitions
Last Game: Ahal 1-1 Pakhtakor
Tuesday, November 7 at 2pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 45%. A win for Ahal had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Ahal win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.

Result
Al FayhaDrawAhal
45% (0.239 0.24) 25.41% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 29.59% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.249 0.25)49.42% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.224 0.22)71.46% (-0.224 -0.22)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (0.21600000000001 0.22)21.94% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (0.326 0.33)55.22% (-0.326 -0.33)
Ahal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.013000000000005 0.01)30.7% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.012999999999998 0.01)66.95% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Fayha 44.99%
    Ahal 29.59%
    Draw 25.4%
Al FayhaDrawAhal
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.59%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Ahal
1-0
Al Fayha
Tagayew (51')
Tagayew (52'), Meredov (90+5')

Al-Rashidi (40')
rhs 2.0
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