AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony
Ahal1 - 1Pakhtakor
Abdurakhmanov (81')
Abdurakhmanov (33'), Gurbanov (44')
Abdurakhmanov (33'), Gurbanov (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ahal and Pakhtakor Tashkent.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.97%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ahal | Draw | Pakhtakor Tashkent |
12.34% ( -1.06) | 19.19% ( -1.02) | 68.47% ( 2.09) |
Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.64% ( 1.94) | 45.36% ( -1.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.3% ( 1.83) | 67.7% ( -1.83) |
Ahal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.33% ( -0.49) | 46.68% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.76% ( -0.38) | 82.24% ( 0.38) |
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.82% ( 1.18) | 12.18% ( -1.18) |