AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

Milliy Stadion

Pakhtakor
0 - 3
Al-Ain

Azmiddinov (62'), Alidjanov (68'), Kholdorkhonov (81'), Banaszak (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Fo-Doh Laba (11', 66'), Al Baloushi (25')
Autonne (43'), Al Baloushi (62'), Yong-woo (80'), Al Ahbabi (84'), Barman (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Pakhtakor Tashkent and Al-Ain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pakhtakor Tashkent

Last Game: Pakhtakor 5-4 Al-Taawoun
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Ain

Last Game: Foolad 4-0 Al-Ain
Saturday, April 10 at 4.50pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
Pakhtakor Tashkent	Draw	Al-Ain
28.03% ( -1.15)	27.87% ( -0.53)	44.1% ( 1.68)

Both teams to score 45.88% (

0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.43% (

1.33)

59.56% (

-1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.09% (

1.01)

79.9% (

-1.01)

Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

-0.2)

37.26% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

-0.19)

74.05% (

0.2)

Al-Ain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

1.53)

26.87% (

-1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82% (

1.97)

62.18% (

-1.97)

Score Analysis

Pakhtakor Tashkent 28.03%

Al-Ain 44.09%

Draw 27.86%

Pakhtakor Tashkent	Draw	Al-Ain
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.03%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.91% Total : 44.09%