AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Mar 11, 2024 at 7pm UK

KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
4 - 3
Al-Ain

Ghareeb (45+5'), Essa (51' og.), Telles (72'), Ronaldo (118' pen.)
Castro (33'), Brozovic (45+8'), Mane (71'), Otavio (84'), Al Amri (100')
Yahya (98')

FT
(aet)

Rahimi (28', 45'), Al Shamsi (103')
Erik (32'), Al Baloushi (38'), Rahimi (85'), Juma (116'), Romero (118')

Al-Ain win 3-1 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-3 Al Raed
Thursday, March 7 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Ain

All competitions

Last Game: Al-Ain 1-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

We say: Al-Nassr 0-0 Al-Ain (Al-Ain advances 1-0 on aggregate)

As difficult as it is to bet against Ronaldo and his reputation for stepping up in big games, his side are in a slump at the moment and looking uncharacteristically impatient. On the other hand, Al-Ain have been cool under pressure in the knockout portion of this tournament, and as a team, we believe they are capable of frustrating Al-Nassr and throwing them off their game once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al-Ain
45.28% ( 1.61)	23.57% ( -0.31)	31.14% ( -1.3)

Both teams to score 61.28% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.62% (

0.94)

40.38% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.24% (

0.96)

62.76% (

-0.95)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

1.05)

18.13% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.9% (

1.76)

49.1% (

-1.75)

Al-Ain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-0.33)

25.15% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

-0.46)

59.86% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 45.28%

Al-Ain 31.15%

Draw 23.56%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al-Ain
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.28%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.15%