Al Shabab

2 - 3

Al-Nassr

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.