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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
3 - 1
Al Fayha

Hamdallah (30'), Al-Ghamdi (45+2'), Al-Sahafi (90+4')
Al-Ghamdi (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sabiri (25' pen.)
Al-Khaibari (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fateh 2-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Fayha

While Al Ittihad are likely to remain without their French international Karim Benzema for this match, Abderrazak Hamdallah has stepped up in a big way and will be looking to add to his 17-goal tally for the season in this one. Al Fayha deserve to be respected here but we feel the hosts will edge the result by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Fayha
61.84% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 20.13% (-0.041 -0.04) 18.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.84% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (0.095999999999997 0.1)37.9% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (0.10400000000001 0.1)60.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)11.79% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.99% (0.115 0.12)37.01% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.13% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 61.84%
    Al Fayha 18.02%
    Draw 20.13%
Al IttihadDrawAl Fayha
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 61.84%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 18.02%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha

Al Ittihad
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Al Fayha
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Al Fayha
0-0
Al Ittihad
Kareem Al Baqawi (70')
Hamdallah (79'), Kadesh (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal98102471725
2Al Ittihad98012281424
3Al-Nassr95402081219
4Al ShababAl Shabab9603126618
5Al Quadisiya9513117416
6Al Riyadh94231314-114
7Al Khaleej94141011-113
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun9333109112
9Al-AhliAl-Ahli9324129311
10Al RaedAl Raed93241313011
11Al Ettifaq9324812-411
12Al Orubah9315919-1010
13Al Okhdood92251113-28
14Damac92251316-38
15Al Kholood91441217-57
16Al Fayha9144717-107
17Al WahdaAl Wahda91351224-126
18Al Fateh9126716-95


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