

Santa Clara0 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Santa Clara 1-3 Porto
Recent meetings between these sides have been settled by one goal and the corresponding fixture in 22-23 ended 1-1. However, an in-form, free-scoring Porto side — considering pre-season results in which they have netted three goals or more in eight of their last nine — should secure the points in Ponta Delgada. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
21.59% (![]() | 24.93% (![]() | 53.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.44% (![]() | 53.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.93% (![]() | 75.07% (![]() |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.26% (![]() | 39.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.59% (![]() | 76.41% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% (![]() | 20% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.81% (![]() | 52.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 7.34% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.59% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 12.79% 0-2 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.47% |