Scottish Championship | Gameweek 17

Feb 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
0 - 2
Inverness

McCowan (54'), Muirhead (63'), Ndaba (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mackay (31'), Sutherland (54')
Todorov (35')

The Match

Match Report

Inverness out of relegation zone with win over Ayr.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
37.61%	26.12%	36.26%

Both teams to score 53.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.29%

50.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38%

72.61%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74%

26.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.63%

61.37%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96%

27.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6%

62.4%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 37.61%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36.26%

Draw 26.12%

Ayr United	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.61%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.26%