Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.
The Match
Match Report
Arbroath still struggling after Inverness force draw at Gayfield
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 38.59% | 25.41% | 36% |
| Both teams to score 56.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% | 69.8% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.33% | 58.67% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% | 25.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.35% | 60.65% |
| Score Analysis |
Arbroath 38.59%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36%
Draw 25.41%
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.44% Total : 36% |
