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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 12
Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Alloa Athletic

Ayr
4 - 1
Alloa

Walsh (6'), McCowan (30', 69'), Muirhead (62' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Trouten (11')
Lynch (59'), Hetherington (61'), Cameron (67'), Jamieson (84')

The Match

Match Report

Alloa sink to the bottom after Arbroath's win at Morton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawAlloa Athletic
64.97%21.28%13.74%
Both teams to score 44.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05%50.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18%72.82%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04%14.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.62%43.37%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.09%47.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.83%83.16%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 64.96%
    Alloa Athletic 13.74%
    Draw 21.27%
Ayr UnitedDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 13.61%
2-0 @ 12.93%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 6.03%
4-0 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.22%
5-0 @ 1.48%
5-1 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 64.96%
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.27%
0-1 @ 5.27%
1-2 @ 3.69%
0-2 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 13.74%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Alloa
0-2
Ayr

Trouten (90+2')
McCowan (38'), Murdoch (60')
Smith (37'), Chalmers (74')
Smith (84')
Apr 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 33
Ayr
P-P
Alloa
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Alloa
0-2
Ayr

Thomson (13'), Hetherington (62')
Bell (9'), Forrest (82')
Harvie (73')
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
Ayr
2-1
Alloa
Docherty (6', 12')
Kelly (81')
O'Hara (67')
Trouten (23'), Hetherington (58'), Deas (69')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Alloa
1-4
Ayr
O'Hara (61')
Robertson (90')
Forrest (10' pen., 31'), Roscoe (13'), McCowan (20')
rhs 2.0
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