Scottish Championship | Gameweek 10

Dec 29, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Dens Park

Dundee
3 - 1
Alloa

Sow (49', 73'), Fontaine (54')
Ashcroft (29')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hetherington (11')
O'Donnel (31'), Connelly (61'), Cawley (66')

The Match

Match Report

Osman Sow struck twice for the hosts as the overcame a half-time deficit.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Alloa Athletic
66.3%	20.3%	13.4%

Both teams to score 46.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.32%

47.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12%

69.88%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.49%

13.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.45%

40.55%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.57%

46.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.95%

82.05%

Score Analysis

Dundee 66.29%

Alloa Athletic 13.4%

Draw 20.3%

Dundee	Draw	Alloa Athletic
2-0 @ 12.56% 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 6.44% 4-0 @ 4.2% 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.62% Total : 66.29%	1-1 @ 9.63% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.3%	0-1 @ 4.81% 1-2 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 0.95% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.4%