Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.