Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
44% | 24.12% | 31.88% |
Both teams to score 59.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.35% | 42.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.94% | 65.05% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% | 19.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.49% | 51.51% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% | 25.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% | 60.75% |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.13% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |