Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.