Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.