Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.