Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4

Sep 7, 2021 at 6pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
0 - 2
Raith Rovers

Muirhead (70')
Afolabi (75'), Muirhead (81')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Varian (14'), Zanatta (25')
Zanatta (15'), Riley-Snow (31')
Riley-Snow (79')

The Match

Match Report

Jonathan Afolabi and Aaron Muirhead were both sent off along with Rovers' Blaise Riley-Snow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Raith Rovers
30.55%	29.29%	40.16%

Both teams to score 43.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.61%

63.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.25%

82.74%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.63%

37.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.85%

74.15%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09%

30.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8%

67.2%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 30.54%

Raith Rovers 40.16%

Draw 29.27%

Ayr United	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.54%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.27%	0-1 @ 13.56% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.16%