Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
45.84% | 25.23% | 28.93% |
Both teams to score 54.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51% | 49.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.91% | 71.09% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.61% | 21.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.62% | 54.38% |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.03% | 30.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.73% | 67.27% |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |