Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 62.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Raith Rovers in this match.