Scottish Championship | Gameweek 26

Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK

Dens Park

Dundee
2 - 1
Raith Rovers

Cummings (13' pen.), Fontaine (34')
Ashcroft (6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Benedictus (88')
MacDonald (77'), Gullan (85')
Tait (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Dundee boost promotion hopes with win over play-off rivals Raith.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dundee in this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Raith Rovers
46%	24.32%	29.68%

Both teams to score 57.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37%

44.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33%

67%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46%

19.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.56%

51.44%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.8%

28.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1%

63.9%

Score Analysis

Dundee 46%

Raith Rovers 29.68%

Draw 24.32%

Dundee	Draw	Raith Rovers
2-1 @ 9.3% 1-0 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.09% Total : 46%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.68%