Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19

Mar 30, 2021 at 7.05pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
5 - 1
Dunfermline

Hendry (17'), Vaughan (31', 40'), Gullan (48', 77')
Vaughan (79')

FT(HT: 3-1)

O'Hara (22')
O'Hara (35'), Comrie (58'), Mayo (69'), Edwards (71'), McCann (78'), Murray (79')

The Match

Match Report

Lewis Vaughan and James Gullan scored twice each in a 5-1 win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
46.07%	24.93%	29%

Both teams to score 55.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.31%

47.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.11%

69.89%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25%

20.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62%

53.38%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76%

30.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6%

66.41%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 46.07%

Dunfermline Athletic 29%

Draw 24.93%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.07%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.14% Total : 29%