Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15

Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
2 - 0
Dunfermline

O'Brien (27'), Hilson (36')
Craigen (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Watson (86')

The Match

Match Report

Captain Thomas O'Brien also scored for the Red Lichties.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
42.52%	26.42%	31.06%

Both teams to score 51.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.04%

52.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44%

74.56%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.33%

24.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.81%

59.2%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53%

31.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.15%

67.85%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 42.52%

Dunfermline Athletic 31.06%

Draw 26.42%

Arbroath	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.52%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.06%