Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dundee0 - 1St Johnstone
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Guy Melamed's well-taken goal in the 20th minute ultimately sent the Betfred Cup winners through.
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St Johnstone progressed in the Scottish Cup with a 1-0 victory.
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The Match
Match Report
Zander Clark saved the spot-kick as a goal from Guy Melamed earned the visitors a 1-0 win.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 34.96% | 25.95% | 39.09% |
| Both teams to score 54.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.93% | 50.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.95% | 72.05% |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37% | 63% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% | 25.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.13% | 59.87% |
| Score Analysis |
Dundee 34.96%
St Johnstone 39.09%
Draw 25.95%
| Dundee | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.09% |
Form Guide
