Scottish Cup | Third Round

Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
0 - 1
St Johnstone

McDaid (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Melamed (20')
Gordon (41')

Callum Booth praises St Johnstone's defence

Guy Melamed's well-taken goal in the 20th minute ultimately sent the Betfred Cup winners through.

Apr 4, 11:53

James McPake claims officials "guessed" disallowed Dundee goal

St Johnstone progressed in the Scottish Cup with a 1-0 victory.

Apr 3, 18:22

The Match

Match Report

Zander Clark saved the spot-kick as a goal from Guy Melamed earned the visitors a 1-0 win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	St Johnstone
34.96%	25.95%	39.09%

Both teams to score 54.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.93%

50.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95%

72.05%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5%

27.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37%

63%

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84%

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13%

59.87%

Score Analysis

Dundee 34.96%

St Johnstone 39.09%

Draw 25.95%

Dundee	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 8.93% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.96%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.09%