Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
34.2% | 26.27% | 39.52% |
Both teams to score 53.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.44% | 51.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.64% | 73.35% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% | 28.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% | 64.51% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.4% | 25.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.52% | 60.48% |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 18 |
2 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
3 | RangersRangers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Motherwell | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
6 | St Mirren | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
7 | Ross County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
8 | Dundee | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Hibernian | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
10 | St Johnstone | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
12 | Hearts | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |